Italy need a strong reaction and a statement win to get their campaign back on track
A detailed preview and betting insight for the match between Moldova and Italy, taking place at 02:45 on November 14 in the UEFA zone qualifiers for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The October World Cup Qualifiers were not short on drama and excitement, as 10 teams officially punched their tickets to the FIFA World Cup 2026.
Match Info
Venue: Zimbru Stadium (Chișinău)
Kick-off: 02:45, 14 November 2025
Referee: To be announced
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Quick Context
Italy travel to Chișinău aiming to solidify their position in Group I and move closer to direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup. Their qualifying campaign began in disaster with a shocking 0–3 loss to Norway, a result that sent shockwaves through Italian football. Fans and media alike turned their criticism toward coach Luciano Spalletti and his players, with La Gazzetta dello Sport calling it “a national emergency.” Every remaining game in this group is now effectively a final for the 2006 world champions.

Group I Situation
Italy sit second in Group I with 15 points, trailing Norway by three points and significantly behind on goal difference. They share the group with Norway, Israel, Moldova, and Estonia. Victory in Chișinău is crucial to maintain pressure on Norway, who currently lead the group.

How Italy Can Break Down Moldova
This will be a battle between control and resilience. Italy are expected to dominate possession, pushing their full-backs high to overload the flanks and create width. Moldova, on the other hand, will look to stay compact, rely on disciplined defending, and use the energy from their home crowd to resist pressure. The first 30 minutes could define the rhythm — if Italy score early, the game might open up; if Moldova hold firm, their confidence will rise with every successful block.
Recent Form (Last 5 Matches)
Moldova: 0W 1D 4L – A poor run of results with no wins in their last five, including two home losses to Estonia and Israel. Their attack has been blunt, and defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Moldova’s World Cup hopes are nearly over.

Italy: 5W 0D 0L – The Azzurri are in excellent form, with five consecutive wins built on a solid back line and improving attacking play. Their only concern has been efficiency — converting dominance into goals more consistently. Italy have looked sharper with every match in this qualifying campaign.

Head-to-Head Record
Italy have completely dominated this fixture, winning all previous meetings while scoring 11 goals and conceding just three. Moldova usually start cautiously but struggle once Italy take control of midfield. The last meeting ended in a convincing Italian victory, built on superior organization and finishing. Moldova have never beaten Italy in their history.

Prediction
With their technical quality and depth, Italy are heavy favorites. Moldova will fight bravely and defend deep, but sustained Italian pressure should eventually produce goals in the second half.
Predicted Score: Moldova 0–2 Italy
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