Italy head into this match needing an away win at Estonia to keep their World Cup 2026 dream alive.
Estonia vs Italy – World Cup 2026 European Qualification of Group I details as we bring you the match preview with what you need to know for the coming encounter.
Estonia vs Italy – Match Info
- Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers – UEFA, Group I
- Venue: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn, Estonia)
- Date: 13 Oct 2025 (Matchday 9)
Italy head into this match needing an away win in Tallinn to keep their World Cup dream alive. After missing several consecutive tournaments and watching from home, the Azzurri can no longer afford another disappointment.
Estonia, meanwhile, are still chasing their first victory in the campaign. Given the clear gap in class, this may turn into a one-sided affair, but it also offers Italy a chance to test new combinations and regain momentum before the decisive final stretch.

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Estonia vs Italy – Summary
As unpredictable as ever, Italy once again find themselves struggling to convince their supporters. Their form has been inconsistent throughout the 2026 qualifying campaign, and they currently sit behind Norway in Group I.
Estonia remain second from bottom and have conceded an average of nearly three goals per game. Their defensive weaknesses continue to be exposed by technically stronger opponents. Despite playing at home, facing Italy at this stage is a daunting challenge for the Baltic side.
Form (Last 5 Matches)
Estonia: W 1, D 0, L 4
Estonia are on a poor run, losing four of their last five matches, including a heavy 0–5 defeat to Italy in September 2025. Their form and confidence are both low heading into this game.

Italy: W 3, D 1, L 1
Italy’s form remains unstable, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. The Azzurri show flashes of quality but have yet to regain their full identity as a dominant European side.

Head-to-Head (Recent Meetings)
Italy have won all of their last three encounters against Estonia, scoring 10 goals and conceding none. The gulf in quality between the two teams is massive, and it is hard to see Estonia posing any real danger.

Curious about your team’s real-time prospects? Explore our up-to-date World Cup Odds here.
Group I Standings (Pre-match)
Italy need three points to close the gap on Norway at the top, currently trailing by two wins. For Estonia, hopes of even a playoff berth are virtually gone. They sit second from bottom with only one victory in their last five matches.

The Azzurri must bounce back quickly to reclaim top spot in Group I.
Prediction & Scoreline
Italy are expected to dominate the match and could rest several starters, yet their depth is still too much for Estonia to handle. The hosts will try to defend in numbers, but an early goal could open the floodgates.
Predicted Score: Estonia 0–4 Italy
Despite recent instability, Italy still have the tools to produce a goal-filled performance in Tallinn. The return of Federico Chiesa adds much-needed dynamism to their attack. A comfortable, commanding display – similar to their 5–0 victory in September – looks likely.
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